{"id":4797,"date":"2023-09-19T05:03:04","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T09:03:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/?p=4797"},"modified":"2023-09-19T07:35:31","modified_gmt":"2023-09-19T11:35:31","slug":"what-are-the-long-term-risks-of-vaping","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/ro\/what-are-the-long-term-risks-of-vaping\/","title":{"rendered":"Care sunt riscurile pe termen lung ale vapingului?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Da, da, \u201enu \u0219tim\u201d, dar este necesar s\u0103 punem context pe aceast\u0103 evaluare negativ\u0103. \u00cen special, trebuie s\u0103 contest\u0103m argumentele retorice folosind aceast\u0103 lips\u0103 de cuno\u0219tin\u021be ca argument pentru a ne opune THR.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nu \u0219tim \u00een termeni absoluti, s-ar putea s\u0103 nu o \u0219tim niciodat\u0103 cu deplin\u0103 precizie, deoarece complexitatea biologiei umane o face o problem\u0103 descurajant\u0103, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere diversitatea r\u0103spunsurilor individuale \u0219i a sistemelor biologice poten\u021bial afectate. Cu toate acestea, putem face estim\u0103ri \u0219i inferen\u021be foarte solide din cuno\u0219tin\u021bele existente pe termen scurt \u0219i mediu, ceea ce este substan\u021bial: sute de experimente bine concepute privind testarea emisiilor, biomarkeri, studii preclinice \u0219i chiar clinice indic\u0103 clar \u00een aproximativ 10 ani de observa\u021bie riguroas\u0103 c\u0103 riscurile (\u00een\u021belese ca poten\u021bial de v\u0103t\u0103mare) ale vapingului sunt reduse dramatic \u00een compara\u021bie cu fumatul. Aceast\u0103 inferen\u021b\u0103 pe termen lung este unul dintre principalii piloni ai THR (\u0219i a multor alte probleme abordate de \u0219tiin\u021b\u0103). Este important s\u0103-l \u00een\u021belegi \u0219i s\u0103-l aperi.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nu este nimic ciudat \u00een a face modele \u0219i prognoze pe termen lung (de zeci de ani) bazate pe ceea ce \u0219tim acum \u0219i din evolu\u021bia trecut\u0103, este o practic\u0103 comun\u0103 \u00een multe discipline \u0219tiin\u021bifice.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 vapingul trebuie respins sau restric\u0163ionat dur \u015fi suprareglementat pentru c\u0103 \u201enu cunoa\u015ftem efectele pe termen lung\u201d, atunci ar trebui s\u0103 respingem sau s\u0103 restr\u00e2ngem drastic promovarea politicilor ecologice pentru a contracara schimb\u0103rile climatice cauzate de \u00eenc\u0103lzirea global\u0103, deoarece nu putem fi siguri c\u0103 aceste politici vor avea succes, nu putem merge 30-50 de ani \u00een viitor \u0219i s\u0103 revenim cu m\u0103sur\u0103tori am\u0103nun\u021bite care arat\u0103 c\u0103 temperaturile globale cresc cu 1,5 sau 3 grade sau nu cresc deloc.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Privirea evolu\u021biei termice pe termen lung a atmosferei p\u0103m\u00e2ntului este o problem\u0103 descurajant\u0103, la fel ca \u0219i privire la evolu\u021bia efectelor biologice pe termen lung ale vapingului. Cu toate acestea, lipsa cuno\u0219tin\u021belor absolute cu privire la efectele pe termen lung nu distrag guvernele \u0219i institu\u021biile de la efortul de a promova energiile verzi \u0219i schimb\u0103rile de politic\u0103. Argumentul principal este c\u0103, dac\u0103 temperaturile globale cresc cu 1,5 sau 3 grade, am fi mult mai r\u0103u dac\u0103 \u201enu facem nimic\u201d pentru c\u0103 \u201enu \u0219tim\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, la fel ca neg\u00e2nditorii schimb\u0103rilor climatice, mul\u021bi detractori de vapoare sugereaz\u0103 \u201es\u0103 nu facem nimic (sau s\u0103 ne opunem sau s\u0103 restr\u00e2ngem prea mult) pentru c\u0103 nu cunoa\u0219tem riscurile pe termen lung\u201d. Aceast\u0103 atitudine comun\u0103 este poten\u021bial dezastruoas\u0103 (c\u00e2\u021bi fum\u0103tori se vor \u00eemboln\u0103vi \u0219i vor tr\u0103i o via\u021b\u0103 mai scurt\u0103 \u00een deceniile \u00een care ar dura \u201ep\u00e2n\u0103 c\u00e2nd vom \u0219ti\u201d?).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cen ambele cazuri de deducere a efectelor pe termen lung (THR \u0219i schimb\u0103rile climatice), toate model\u0103rile \u0219i prognozele depind \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 de ipoteze cu privire la ceea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 pe parcurs. Scenariile de \u00eenc\u0103lzire global\u0103 depind de politicile care pot fi implementate pe termen scurt sau mediu; exist\u0103 un spectru de la ipoteze \u201eoptimiste\u201d la \u201epesime\u201d. Nu exist\u0103 un plan absolut \u0219i r\u0103m\u00e2n multe necunoscute \u0219i incertitudini, dar toate acestea nu paralizeaz\u0103 eforturile.<\/span><\/p>\n

De asemenea, orice modelare a efectelor biologice pe termen lung de la produsele THR va depinde, de asemenea, de ceea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 pe parcurs. Interdic\u021biile sau suprareglementarea \u00eei vor descuraja pe mul\u021bi fum\u0103tori s\u0103 treac\u0103 \u0219i vor \u00een\u0103bu\u0219i dezvoltarea tehnologic\u0103 necesar\u0103 pentru a produce vape care emit \u0219i mai pu\u021bin con\u021binut toxic. Acceptarea institu\u021bional\u0103 a THR (chiar dac\u0103 este foarte critic\u0103) ar crea condi\u021bii mai bune pentru aceste \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021biri.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 schimb\u0103rile climatice, cercetarea farmaceutic\u0103 care dezvolt\u0103 medicamente \u0219i vaccinuri se bazeaz\u0103 \u0219i pe prognoza pe termen lung bazat\u0103 pe cuno\u0219tin\u021bele medicale \u0219i biologice anterioare \u0219i pe o perioad\u0103 scurt\u0103 de testare. Practic, toate medicamentele sunt eliberate dup\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la 10 ani de studii de control randomizate. Desigur, este important s\u0103 fii atent \u0219i exist\u0103 exemple de medicamente scoase de pe pia\u021b\u0103 odat\u0103 ce exist\u0103 dovezi ale unui r\u0103u neprev\u0103zut sau nea\u0219teptat. Niciun sus\u021bin\u0103tor al THR nu se opune p\u0103str\u0103rii aceluia\u0219i ochi vigilent asupra vaporilor. Cu toate acestea, este \u00eentotdeauna necesar s\u0103 se \u021bin\u0103 seama de faptul c\u0103 ar putea fi foarte greu s\u0103 dezlega\u021bi daunele detectate la vapoare de daunele anterioare \u0219i \u00een curs de desf\u0103\u0219urare dup\u0103 istorii lungi de fumat (deoarece majoritatea vaporilor sunt fo\u0219ti sau actuali fum\u0103tori).\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Un alt argument defectuos \u00een jurul lipsei de cunoa\u0219tere a efectelor pe termen lung este c\u0103 \u201ene-a luat zeci de ani s\u0103 afl\u0103m efectele nocive ale fumatului, va dura decenii pentru a cunoa\u0219te efectele nocive ale vapingului\u201d. Acest argument dezv\u0103luie analfabetismul \u0219tiin\u021bific. Da, oamenii au avut nevoie de multe secole pentru a putea zbura \u00een siguran\u021b\u0103 (\u00een cele din urm\u0103, la \u00eenceputul anilor 1900), dar oamenilor le-au trebuit doar c\u00e2teva decenii pentru a dezvolta mijloace pentru a putea ajunge pe Lun\u0103 (1969). Dac\u0103 \u021big\u0103rile de fumat ar fi inventate ast\u0103zi, cuno\u0219tin\u021bele reale despre chimia analitic\u0103, fizica \u0219i chimia aerosolilor, biologia uman\u0103 \u0219i \u0219tiin\u021ba medical\u0103 ar face ca efectele sale d\u0103un\u0103toare s\u0103 fie absolut evidente \u00een c\u00e2teva luni sau chiar s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni. Nu am cunoa\u0219te r\u0103ul \u00een termeni absolut cura\u021bi \u0219i precis, dar am \u0219ti c\u0103 este d\u0103un\u0103tor.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cen cele din urm\u0103, data viitoare c\u00e2nd un detractor al THR \u00ee\u0219i exprim\u0103 \u201ene opunem pentru c\u0103 nu cunoa\u0219tem efectele pe termen lung\u201d, spune-le c\u0103 acela\u0219i argument ar respinge recunoa\u0219terea \u00eenc\u0103lzirii globale \u0219i promovarea schimb\u0103rilor \u00een politicile energetice pentru a r\u0103spunde acesteia. Dup\u0103 aceea\u0219i logic\u0103, aceast\u0103 persoan\u0103 nu ar trebui s\u0103 ia niciun medicament sau vaccin p\u00e2n\u0103 la testarea de zeci de ani.<\/span>
\n<\/span>
\n<\/span>
\n<\/span>Dr. Roberto A. Sussman<\/span>
\n<\/span>Institutul de \u0218tiin\u021be Nucleare<\/span><\/p>\n

Universitatea Na\u021bional\u0103 Autonom\u0103 din Mexic<\/span><\/p>\n

UNAM<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yes, yes, “we don\u2019t know\u201d, but it is necessary to put a context on this negative assessment. In particular, we need to challenge rhetorical arguments using this lack of knowledge as an argument to oppose THR. We don\u2019t know in absolute terms, we might never know it with full precision, as the complexity of human […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":4461,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat are the long term risks of vaping? - World Vapers' Alliance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We need to challenge rhetorical arguments using the lack of knowledge as an argument to oppose tobacco harm reduction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/ro\/what-are-the-long-term-risks-of-vaping\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What are the long term risks of vaping? 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