{"id":7132,"date":"2026-09-15T14:33:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:33:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/?p=7132"},"modified":"2026-09-15T14:33:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:33:20","slug":"canadas-own-numbers-just-undercut-the-vaping-gateway-theory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/nl_be\/canadas-own-numbers-just-undercut-the-vaping-gateway-theory\/","title":{"rendered":"De Canadese cijfers zelf ontkrachten de theorie dat vapen een opstapje is naar het gebruik van e-sigaretten."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Health Canada heeft zijn <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/health-infobase.canada.ca\/substance-use\/tobacco\/surveillance\/?0=1&amp;1=0&amp;1=2&amp;3=0&amp;4=0&amp;5=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nationaal gegevensinstrument voor tabak en e-sigaretten<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Dit jaar zijn de cijfers onder jongeren zorgwekkend. In 2024 had 3,61 miljard Canadese tieners van 12 tot 17 jaar een sigaret gerookt. Van hen rookte er 1,51 miljard, dagelijks, af en toe of anderszins. Vijf jaar eerder, in 2019, waren die cijfers aanzienlijk slechter: 5,21 miljard had al minstens \u00e9\u00e9n keer gerookt en 2,11 miljard was actieve roker. Roken onder tieners in Canada is gedaald, en die daling zette zich voort in de jaren dat vapen het populairst was onder tieners.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dat laatste deel is het aspect dat de gatewaytheorie nooit heeft kunnen verklaren.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Het jaar waarin vapen een piek bereikte, was ook het jaar waarin roken bleef afnemen.<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2019 meldde 13,11 TP4T (Total Popular) van de Canadese tieners dat ze de afgelopen 30 dagen hadden gevaped, verreweg het hoogste percentage in deze dataset. Als vapen zou fungeren als een opstapje naar roken, zoals voorstanders van een verbod op smaakstoffen al lang beweren, dan zou dat jaar een toename in roken onder tieners een jaar of twee later moeten hebben opgeleverd. In plaats daarvan daalde het vapen onder jongeren naar 7,11 TP4T in 2023 en 5,81 TP4T in 2024, terwijl het roken onder tieners bleef dalen tot 1,61 TP4T en vervolgens 1,51 TP4T. Beide cijfers bewogen vijf jaar lang in dezelfde richting. Een theorie die ervan uitgaat dat vapen roken normaliseert voor tieners, vereist dat de twee lijnen op een gegeven moment uiteenlopen. Dat is niet gebeurd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zelfs de huidige cijfers spreken voor zich. In 2024 hebben meer Canadese tieners de afgelopen maand gevaped (5,81 TP4T) dan \u00fcberhaupt gerookt (1,51 TP4T), inclusief tieners die slechts \u00e9\u00e9n keer een sigaret hadden geprobeerd (experimenteel roken is goed voor 1,81 TP4T, ongeveer evenveel als huidig roken). Als vapen jongeren stiekem naar sigaretten zou leiden, zou dat verschil kleiner moeten worden naarmate de vapende generatie ouder wordt. In plaats daarvan wordt het groter.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Volwassenen vertellen een rustigere versie van hetzelfde verhaal.<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">De gegevens over volwassenen worden in deze discussie niet zo vaak aangehaald, maar ze horen er wel bij. Het aantal volwassenen dat rookte, lag in 2024 op 11,21 TP4T, een lichte daling ten opzichte van 11,51 TP4T het jaar ervoor. Het aantal volwassenen dat e-sigaretten gebruikte, veranderde nauwelijks in dezelfde periode, van 6,21 TP4T naar 5,91 TP4T. Ook hier is geen sprake van een plotselinge toename van e-sigarettengebruik, maar eerder van een langzame, gestage daling van het roken van sigaretten onder mensen die oud genoeg zijn om legaal een e-sigaret te kopen. Bijna 231 TP4T van de Canadese volwassenen zijn ex-rokers. Wat de oorzaak van deze daling ook is, het is in ieder geval geen golf van nieuwe tienerrokers die door e-sigaretten is ontstaan, want de gegevens voor die specifieke bewering ontbreken nog steeds.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>Het beleid dat op deze theorie is gebaseerd, is nog steeds van kracht.<\/b><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dit alles is niet nieuw voor iedereen die het werk van WVA over dit onderwerp heeft gelezen.<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/nl_be\/vaping-and-the-gateway-myth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vapen en de mythe van de opstap naar een nieuwe start<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> In 2023 werd betoogd dat adolescenten niet overstappen van vapen naar roken, en dat smaakbeperkingen die als kinderbescherming worden gepresenteerd, niets aanpakken wat door het bewijsmateriaal wordt ondersteund. De Canadese cijfers van 2024 voegen daar een actuele, nationale dataset aan toe die jaar na jaar op dezelfde conclusie uitkomt, lang nadat het beleidsdebat ervan uitging dat de uitkomst anders zou zijn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regels zoals verboden op smaakstoffen, gelijke belastingen op e-sigaretten en sigaretten, en strenge marketingbeperkingen zijn gebaseerd op de bewering dat vapen voor tieners net zo riskant is als roken. De gegevens tonen echter aan dat deze bewering onjuist is. De volgende versie van dergelijke wetgeving zou rekening moeten houden met vijf jaar nationaal gezondheidsonderzoek voordat deze wordt opgesteld, in plaats van vijf jaar angst die nooit aan een dergelijk onderzoek is getoetst.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Health Canada updated its national tobacco and vaping data tool this year, and the youth numbers are worth sitting with. In 2024, 3.6% of Canadian teens aged 12 to 17 had smoked a cigarette. Current smoking, daily, occasional, or otherwise, sat at 1.5%. Five years earlier, in 2019, those numbers looked meaningfully worse: 5.2% had [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":7133,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Canada&#039;s Own Numbers Just Undercut the Vaping Gateway Theory - World Vapers&#039; Alliance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Health Canada data show teen smoking continued to decline from 2019 to 2024, even during the years when youth vaping was most popular.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/worldvapersalliance.com\/nl_be\/canadas-own-numbers-just-undercut-the-vaping-gateway-theory\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_BE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Canada&#039;s Own Numbers Just Undercut the Vaping Gateway Theory - World Vapers&#039; 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